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A strong US consumer… but a war overhang

Headlines and news stories about an escalation in military activities – war – in the Middle East and South East Europe continue to dominate my news feeds. Yet, (1) a stronger US consumer, and (2) higher than expected inflation paving the way for the Fed to correct a widely debated policy mistake have led to a grind and jump higher in major equity benchmarks.

I continue to trade the market as if the “July rout” in equities was a correction. My favourite – proprietary momentum – indicator, is just beginning to signal a buy.

The payment is, critically, an explicit acknowledgement by you that you have read and understand the 3 points below.

  1. I am not providing you with investment advice. Do your research and make your own investment decisions.
  2. I am not encouraging you to, nor asking you to trade.
  3. You will see at most two sentences that tell you how I am positioned, and/or maybe how I have traded.