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Macro themes

My main news headlines tell about the change of presidents. My only real insight at this point is that the auto industry as well as energy industry is a focal point for the foreseeable future. Downstream industries from these are likely going to benefit as well.

In Europe, I have my hopes up for a cessation of hostilities. I do not know if that is priced in.

So, my guess is at the following macro themes this year

  1. Europe needs energy security
  2. Europe needs to secure its supply chains
  3. Europe needs to invest in technology
  4. US will rebuild its auto industry
  5. US will scale its energy production

With the run-up extended, my momentum indicator shows I should be cautious as SX5E as SX5E appears overbought.

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  1. I am not providing you with investment advice. Do your research and make your own investment decisions.
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  3. You will see at most two sentences that explain my positioning. This is my note to myself and not a recommendation to you.